Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Pod/20th (ii) ... When a line is moving in the wrong direction

The Mavericks opened up last night at -7.5 over the Knicks. At this number, I liked New York enough to make them one of my Plays Of The Day, in hopes of continuing a nice run of recent prognostications in the NBA (18-11, 62%, Feb 28-Mar 19/07).

Then today, after Dirk Nowitzki is profiled on the main Sports page at Yahoo.com (see German engineering: The European dream), Dallas begins to get pounded by the average fan driving up the number even higher, first to -8.0 and then to -8.5, a full point inflation fuelled exclusively on gameday action/interest.

This now becomes a most interesting situation.

Time to double-up ... on the Knicks ... who tonight (at +8.5) will be one of the rare teams in the league with a favourable match-up situation if/when the Mavericks (inevitably) decide to go with their small line-up.

NYK +8.5 over DAL (NBA)

[NBA rec'd: 66-68]
[NCAA-MBB rec'd: 1-1]

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